BDO OPTIMISM INDEX Q1 2015

IRELAND’S TWO-TIER ECONOMY FADING AS BUSINESSES OUTSIDE DUBLIN CATCH UP

  • 1 in 5 businesses charging higher prices compared to same period last year
  • Operating profits higher in 43% of larger companies
  • Overall BDO Optimism Index has risen to 63.4 with larger companies most optimistic – highest Q1 level for 5 years

Businesses outside the capital are fast closing the gap on their Dublin based peers in terms of profitability, pricing levels and business optimism. In addition, 45% of all companies have recorded higher levels of business performance in Q1 2015 compared to the same period in 2014. Increased prices and operating profit are being recorded in companies of all sizes in Dublin and in the rest of the country. These are among the findings published today in the inaugural BDO Optimism Index, a bespoke long-term study which surveys businesses in Ireland on what really matters to them.

Overall 1 in 5 businesses in Ireland, rising to 1 in 4 businesses in Dublin, are charging higher prices for their products or services compared to the same period last year. In addition to price increases, a further 65% of companies will maintain prices at the same level as last year and just 11% are planning on price reductions. Forecasts based on the data over the past 5 years suggests that price increases will continue in 2016 with 1 in 4 businesses expected to increase prices again in 2016.

The link between prices and profits is abundantly clear in the levels of operating profit being recorded. Over 4 out of every 10 companies in the larger company category are recording higher operational profits. When examined across all company sizes this drops to an average of 35%. Over the past two years operating profit growth in Dublin based companies had far exceeded that of companies outside of Dublin but that has now changed and Ireland’s two economy is rapidly fading.

The BDO Optimism Index, compiled by Behaviour & Attitudes using 5 years of data, gives an overall optimism score of 63.4. While this is a significant jump since 2011 and the highest for the five years, the pace of growth in optimism is slowing as companies seek to consolidate their position and ensure longer-term sustainability.

While growth in activity is being experienced across the board, companies with four to nine employees have seen the most growth with 48% of them seeing an increase in business activity. Looking to Q2 2015, strong growth is predicated with over half of all businesses expecting business levels to be higher compared to the same period last year. Export focused companies are also more optimistic about their prospects with 54% of these expecting higher levels of business activity.

With unemployment falling steadily in the economy, the largest recruitment drive comes from the middle sized to larger companies with 30% of them adding to their work force since Q1 last year. Levels of recruitment were also similar in and outside of the capital with 18% of companies in Dublin and 15% of companies outside of Dublin seeing growth in employment levels in Q1 this year compared to Q1 in 2014.

 

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BDO is a firm of registered auditors and is registered to carry on audit work in Ireland and the UK by the Institute of Chartered Accountants in Ireland. Details about our audit registration can be viewed at www.auditregister.org.uk under reference number 223876. BDO is also authorised to carry on investment business in the Republic of Ireland by the Institute of Chartered Accountants in Ireland.